Hi, I’m Julian Hinz.

I am an empirical economist studying issues in international economics, most often related to economic integration and disintegration. I am fond of unconventional, often big data, as well as the econometrics needed to work with such data. I work on topics related to sanctions, trade costs, migration, and political economy, and develop tools for the estimation of models with high-dimensional fixed effects.

Recent output

• Navigating Shocks: The Ripple Effects of Shipping Route Closures — with Carsten Philipp Brockhaus and Charles Serfaty. Banque de France Working Paper, 1057, August 2026.
• Competing with China in Third Markets — with Sonali Chowdhry and Katharina Erhardt. Kiel Policy Brief, No. 213. June 2026.
• A Critical-Inputs Playbook: What the Strait of Hormuz Tells Europe . Intereconomics, 61(3), June 2026.
• The Ukraine Support Tariff: How Europe Can Support Ukraine and Weaken Russia — with Moritz Schularick. Kiel Policy Brief, No. 212. June 2026.
• Der EU-Binnenmarkt als Schutzschild: Wie Europa den Handelskrieg mit den USA abfedert — with Gabriel Felbermayr, Sebastian Krantz, Hendrik Mahlkow and Joschka Wanner. Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter, 2026(1).
• PLAID: Product-Level AI-Derived Indicators Database for International Trade — with Carsten Brockhaus and Irene Iodice. Kiel Working Paper, 2318, April 2026.

Recent talks

• 2026-09-18
  "Tariffs Hit Differently: The Regional Impact of US Tariffs across Europe and the Role of the Single Market" — Panel “Trade and Trade Wars”, World Trade Forum 2026, University of Bern.   Related research
• 2026-06-30
  "Competing with China in Third Markets" — 3rd Kiel-Göttingen-CEPR Conference “China in the Global Economy”, Berlin.   Related research
• 2026-06-30
  "Discussion of “China tariffs” — by Antràs & Presbitero" — 3rd Kiel-Göttingen-CEPR Conference “China in the Global Economy”, Berlin.

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